Four real bets that sat on a public blockchain before they paid off. For each one: what the wallets did, how much they made and which signals gave them away. PolyScope watches for the same signals.
Polymarket public data · wallets not named
Between 13 and 16 February, five freshly created wallets each put $48-63k on YES in "US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?" at 10-20¢. Their first trades came within about a day of each other, and the strikes happened before the deadline.
One wallet bought about $32k of YES on "Maduro out by January 31, 2026?" at an average of 7.4¢, plus small long shots on a US invasion and war powers. Maduro was out before the deadline.
Almost every trade this wallet made was on the Bank of Russia key rate, and it came out ahead at all six meetings from February to September. The two biggest bets went in during the final 24 hours, and the last buys came minutes before the official release. The money arrived through a bridge from Ethereum.
A new wallet took a large NO position on "DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?". PolyScope traced its deposit back through a bridge and a transit address to an older wallet that had gone 4 for 4 on DeepSeek release dates. A $1.5k withdrawal linked the two, and the new wallet won too.
Each case above shows several of these at once. One signal alone proves nothing, which is why PolyScope looks for combinations.
All figures come from Polymarket's public data. The cases describe trades and patterns. They don't prove who was behind them, and we don't name the wallets. Full guide to finding insiders on Polymarket.
1,182,003 markets indexed so far
The free plan is enough to start. Adding your first wallet takes under a minute, and it all happens inside Telegram.
Open Telegram Bot
PolyScope